Banknifty May Fall!!

The banknifty today touched the day high of 11240 and the day low was 11074.The opening we sold near 11110 and covered the same near 11080 and we bought it again near 11155 and sold the same 50% near 199 and rest at 11236. During the closing we sold Banknifty at 11205 and thought of carring the short for 'STBT', but when it fall to 170 level we covered at 175 after covering it fell further down to 11140 level. The closing was weak in banknifty. The tomorrow banknifty may weaken further and any down move down to 10970 will bring fresh selling and it may reverse the on going rally in banknifty.

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Today was one of the great days for us , as far as the profit is concerned.We bought almost banknifty at the days low and sold the same at the days high.We gave a STBT call in Icici Bank yesterday at 1038 and covered the same at 1025 level today morning.We also gave sell call in Kotakbank at 850 and covered the same at 844.These calls we give free for our banknifty paid clients.

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The Nifty seems to find hurdle in 5620 level. It fall from there twice,the other day it went to 612 and fell,today too it fell from 620 level to 580. I think, if the nifty break down 560 level may bring fresh selling in nifty...one can go positional short in nifty with the sl of 5624.

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What Do We Expect Tomorrow?

The Banknifty went to the 11240 level and for no reason it fell to 140 level during the closing. A 100 points fall in short time duration was indicating the base is not so strong/ solid . We expect a weakness in banknifty tomorrow. The icici bank was weak today,if the same continue tomorrow the Bn will fall down.

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On the other hand the banks merger with Sbi news made it to zoom up about 50 points in no time and still the banknifty was failed to touch the new high (That would have been easily reachable). There are some hot talk about the banks D/E Ratio( Debt Ratio Analysis) among the taders we need to study it further.Now we have the understanding that,the banks may fall any time.

While writing this post the Asian market is in red and the US market we have to watch out tonight for tomorrow opening prediction.

I wish you to avoid fresh longs inNifty&Banknifty at the current level.

Banknifty Poised For a Up Move?

The Banknifty future were traded in side ways last two days thursday&friday respectively.Today it opened mild gap up at 11005. We initiated fresh longs at 11012 and placed a sell immdiately at 11114.00 we were expecting the upmove will halt at 11188 but it was not it went up to 11240+ and during the closing came down to 11200 level.

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We have cut short our longs near 11070 and we attmpt 4 sell near 11135level and covered the same at 11115 level without sl hit.During the closing we also sold near 11225 and covered the same in 11205 level.As far as the intraday is concerned we have done our part well and gained more than 80 points.We actually missed this intraday rally hence we bought at the days low but not sold at day's high considering our intraday comitments for our clients 50 points we booked the same after seeing the reasonable profits.

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The Banknifty made a double top near 11145 level but it is invalid now as it claim up to 200+ level. Now it is poised for a up move around 11350 levels.The icici went to 1040+ levels and Axis Bank went to 1400+ levels.The Sbi also seems to be strong so all these may put the banknifty in a bull mode.The Hdfc Shown weakness today.We gave a buy call (Free Call) in Axis Bank and all our clients were made 20+ points in the future segments.

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Now, What Do We Expect Tomorrow?

We have seen good consolidation today in banknifty and there were not much selling pressure due to profit booking also seen fresh buying so tomorrow it is again poised to move upto 11330 level and there it may halt and revrse.The icici bank now very strong and may further move up to 1100 and sbi to 3000 level.

Avoid fresh longs.

Why This Congestion in market?

The 'Gap-Up Opening' today did'nt bring the activeness in the market.The market was very much congested today from its opening to the closing. The banknifty future opened in 10950 and came down to 927 that remains a day's low and slowely went near 960 and stagnated for a longer time and it marked 988 as days high but not able to saty over even 2 mins and fall back to 950 levels.

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Why this congestion?

The low to high is only 51 points, it was caged in a narrow zone. A kind of maturity was seen.it was unable to claim up or fall down the buying and selling pressure from both ends made a day of congestion.The icici and axis banks are shown strength,even the Sbi is not that much weak it would have gone up...but the traders seems to cut short their position by booking profits for a small up and down moves.

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As i stated in my pre-market view the banknifty remain in sideways and shown choppyness.The day trading was really boring because of this choppiness. The Nifty shown weakness and unable to sustain the 5500 level during closing it came down to 480 levels.

What do we expect tomorrow?

There is a chance for gap down opening tomorrow and the banknifty may trade in side ways. A move down to 10830 will bring activeness and one can see good volatality in intraday. The 10900+ levels will not attract fresh buying...between 860 to 980 range will remain choppy or less volatile a firm move up or down is only good for active day traders.

I will not advise now , you to initiate fresh longs at this levels.